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How U.S. Economic Trends Impact Bitcoin Prices and Investor Strategies

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How U.S. Economic Trends Impact Bitcoin Prices and Investor Strategies

How U.S. Macroeconomic Trends Could Affect Bitcoin Prices

Bitcoin has always grabbed attention with its massive price swings, but the past few weeks have been especially shaky. With Bitcoin prices tumbling from $118,000 to around $112,300 in early August, questions are swirling: Is another big drop coming? More importantly, what role do U.S. economic indicators play in all of this? Let’s break it down so anyone can follow along, no finance degree needed.

Bitcoin Drops Again: Why and What Now?

The start of August has not been kind to Bitcoin, echoing its performance in past years. Investors now find themselves staring at the numbers, with Bitcoin losing about $170 billion in market value since its peak near mid-July. While some traders are worried, others—like best-selling author Robert Kiyosaki—aren’t sweating it. In fact, Kiyosaki says he hopes for a bigger crash, down to $90,000, so he can buy even more.

But why this strange optimism in the face of lower prices? It’s simple: some big investors see Bitcoin drops as a sale. For them, these moments are chances to pick up more at lower prices, betting on a comeback over the long term.

The “August Curse” and What History Says

August is shaping up to be a repeat offender for Bitcoin price drops. Over the past 12 years, Bitcoin has logged losses in August eight times—a pretty bad track record. The average drop? Roughly 11.4%. If history repeats itself, it’s not out of the question for Bitcoin to fall closer to $105,000—or even down to Kiyosaki’s $90,000 prediction.

Why Bitcoin Follows U.S. Economic News

Most people think of Bitcoin as being apart from government or central banks, but its price often moves based on what’s happening in the U.S. economy. Take, for example, job reports. When new job numbers are weaker than expected, it’s a warning signal for investors. Less job growth can mean people spend and invest less, which worries not just stock market investors, but Bitcoin holders, too.

U.S. Jobs and Bitcoin: What’s the Link?

Recent economic data in the U.S. has not been encouraging. The July job report, for instance, showed just 73,000 new jobs—much lower than experts hoped. Arthur Hayes, former head of BitMEX and a major crypto voice, says this is one reason he believes Bitcoin could go as low as $100,000 soon.

“No major economy is creating enough credit fast enough to boost growth. So Bitcoin could test lower levels,” Hayes wrote on social media.

When the job market looks weak, people might not have extra money to put into investments like Bitcoin. Plus, weaker job numbers can also lead to changes in how the U.S. central bank—the Federal Reserve—sets interest rates. These rates have huge effects on prices for everything from houses to stocks to crypto.

The Fed Factor: Rising Rates, Sinking Bitcoin?

The U.S. Federal Reserve tries to control inflation and help the economy by raising or lowering interest rates. High rates can make borrowing (and spending) more expensive. They often also give investors better returns on simple savings rather than risky assets like Bitcoin. When people earn more on safer investments, they may avoid or sell Bitcoin, causing its price to drop.

This is why every time there’s a hint the Fed may raise rates to fight inflation, Bitcoin traders get nervous. Many sell off their coins, “just in case.” That can lead to even sharper drops.

National Debt and Global Fears: Why Kiyosaki Isn’t Worried

Kiyosaki isn’t just looking at Bitcoin’s ups and downs. He pays close attention to bigger problems, like the rising U.S. national debt. He argues that all this borrowing could lead to problems for the dollar, U.S. government bonds, and other old-school assets.

He believes Bitcoin and other so-called “hard assets” (things like gold) will become more popular if people lose trust in regular money. That’s why he’s ready to buy more if prices fall further—he sees these dips as opportunities, not disasters.

Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Hopes

Despite talk of a possible “Bitcoin crash,” not all the news is bad. Short-term drops can scare away weak investors, but they don’t mean Bitcoin is doomed. Many seasoned investors and analysts still think the long-term path will point back up, especially if central banks keep printing more money or if the U.S. struggles with debt and economic slowdowns.

What’s Next? Things to Watch

  • U.S. Job Reports: Every month, keep an eye on how many new jobs the government says were added. Worse-than-expected numbers could mean more selling.
  • Federal Reserve Announcements: Changes in interest rates or signals that more hikes are coming can push Bitcoin prices lower.
  • Global News: Big political events, wars, or new banking rules can all shake Bitcoin’s price.
  • Sentiment Swings: Short-term fear and greed can move crypto prices up and down much faster than traditional markets.

The Bottom Line

Predicting exactly where Bitcoin will go next is never easy. But as long as U.S. economic data keeps swinging—and as long as the Federal Reserve stays in focus—Bitcoin traders should expect more wild rides. Some, like Kiyosaki, will treat lower prices as a chance to buy. Others may sell in fear. For most everyday investors, the best approach is to keep an eye on the big trends. Don’t get caught up in the panic or the hype, and remember: what goes down can also go back up.

For more on Kiyosaki’s latest comments and Bitcoin’s price swings, check the full article on CoinCentral.

also read:Bitcoin Hovering Near $120K as FOMO and Institutional Interest Fuel Market Moves

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Hyperliquid HYPE Rebounds Above $44 as Breakout Potential Grows Towards $60

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Hyperliquid HYPE Rebounds Above $44 as Breakout Potential Grows Towards $60

HYPE just did something many altcoins couldn’t this week: it held the line. After a choppy stretch across crypto, Hyperliquid’s token rebounded off the $44 area and is trying to build a base. Traders are asking the obvious question: if buyers keep defending this floor, can HYPE make a run back toward $60?

Here’s the setup, why $44–$42 matters, and what would need to click for a breakout toward the high $50s.

Context: Strength in a shaky tape

Crypto majors eased into the weekend after posting fresh highs earlier in the week, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both softer on Saturday, October 11. HYPE, by contrast, is holding in the mid‑$40s and showing steadier price action than many peers, which helps explain the buzz on trader feeds today. ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-price-ethereum-xrp-crypto-today-37e70acb?utm_source=openai))

At the time of writing on October 11, HYPE is trading around the mid‑$45 zone — still below last month’s peak, but above a cluster of bids that has been soaking up sell pressure around $44. HYPE printed its all‑time high near $59.30 on September 18, 2025, so the $60 headline target isn’t just a round number; it’s roughly a retest of that prior peak. ([coingecko.com](https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid))

The event: A firm rebound off $44 support

Price action this week has revolved around an expanding wedge that’s been guiding swings since late Q3. The lower boundary sits in the $42–$44 pocket. Each dip into that zone has attracted buyers, and the latest tag sparked another bounce. Bulls want to see that area continue to act as a springboard on 4‑hour closes; bears want a decisive break and a daily close under $42 to put $39–$35 back on the table.

Short term, the playbook is simple: reclaim and hold above $45–$46, then press into the first resistance shelf near $48–$50. Acceptance above $50 flips momentum back to the upside and opens a path toward $53.5–$56. From there, it’s a fight for the prior high at $59.3, with $60–$62 as the extension if momentum and liquidity line up.

Why the bid keeps showing up: real activity on the venue

One reason dip buyers keep leaning in: the exchange behind HYPE continues to post heavyweight derivatives activity. On-chain trackers show Hyperliquid’s perpetuals venue handling multi‑billion dollar daily volume with open interest in the low‑teens billions — big numbers for a decentralized order‑book platform. That level of usage tends to keep the token in every trader’s dashboard and helps explain why pullbacks find demand. ([defillama.com](https://defillama.com/protocol/hyperliquid/perps?utm_source=openai))

Chart view: levels that matter this week

Support to defend

  • $44.2: intraday pivot that has acted like a tripwire for momentum. Reclaims above this level often invite quick scalps higher.
  • $42.0–$42.5: the wedge base. Lose it on a daily close and the market likely hunts liquidity in the high‑$30s, with $35 as the bigger magnet.

Levels to flip and attack

  • $48.0–$50.0: first resistance stack. A 4H close above $50 usually forces shorts to cover and draws in trend followers.
  • $53.6–$56.0: supply zone from late September. Clearing this band says the uptrend is back in charge.
  • $59.3–$60.0: prior ATH and a psychological milestone. Acceptance above $60 turns the discussion to price discovery and measured moves into the low $60s.

Momentum check: what would confirm the turn

On lower time frames, bulls want to see HYPE stay above its short‑term moving averages after reclaiming them — especially the popular 20‑EMA on the 4‑hour chart — and push with rising spot + perp volume. A clean push through $50 with expanding volume often precedes a run into $53–$56. Failure to hold above $45 after reclaiming it would hand control back to range traders and keep price ping‑ponging between $43.5 and $48.

Background that still matters to price

HYPE is more than a ticker; it’s the native token for Hyperliquid’s L1 and on‑chain order‑book DEX. The project launched HYPE through a large community airdrop on November 29, 2024, with a fixed max supply of 1 billion tokens. No allocation went to private investors, and the token also serves as gas on HyperEVM. That origin story and utility continue to shape how traders value the asset, especially when the exchange posts strong volumes. ([theblock.co](https://www.theblock.co/post/328631/hyperliquid-plans-to-launch-hype-token-in-nov-29-genesis-event?utm_source=openai))

For context, the token set its current ATH on September 18, 2025. That date matters because markets often revisit prior peaks after consolidations, and the $59–$60 area is exactly where many breakout traders will look to de‑risk or trail stops. ([coingecko.com](https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid))

Scenarios: what a path back to $60 could look like

  • Base‑and‑break: Price continues to respect $44–$45, grinds higher, and then tags $48–$50. A 4H or daily close above $50 with rising volume invites a push into $53.5–$56. Clearing that band sets up a retest of $59–$60. Timeframe: days to a couple of weeks if the broader market stays constructive.
  • Shakeout first: One more fake break under $44 into $42–$43, liquidity gets swept, then a sharp reversal sends price through $48–$50. This pattern has been common in 2025 across high‑beta tokens.
  • Bull thesis invalidation: A daily close under $42 turns the wedge into a failed support, putting $39–$35 in view. In that case, look for basing again before talking about $50s.

Cross‑winds to watch

  • Broader tape: If BTC/ETH resume trending, high‑beta names usually lead bounces. If majors stall, breakout attempts often fade. ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-price-ethereum-xrp-crypto-today-37e70acb?utm_source=openai))
  • Venue flow: Perp open interest and 24h volume on Hyperliquid. Rising OI with flat price can flag a squeeze setup; falling OI into resistance can blunt breakouts. ([defillama.com](https://defillama.com/protocol/hyperliquid/perps?utm_source=openai))
  • Supply dynamics: The circulating supply path for HYPE looks cleaner than many exchange tokens thanks to the community‑heavy genesis and a defined allocation map. Upcoming unlocks are relatively small through late November, according to third‑party research summaries, which reduces near‑term overhang risk. ([sistine.ai](https://sistine.ai/hyperliquid-hype-research-report/?utm_source=openai))

How traders are positioning it

Short‑term traders often frame HYPE here with a simple “line in the sand.” Above $44–$45, play the range toward $48–$50; above $50, look for continuation into $53–$56. Many will scale out before the round‑number test at $60 and only add back if price accepts above the old high. Swing participants tend to give the idea more room but still place invalidation on a daily close below $42 to avoid getting trapped in a larger mean‑reversion move.

Actionable checklist

  • Price: Watch for a 4H close above $50. If it comes with rising volume, that often precedes trend extension.
  • Volume and OI: Look for expanding spot volume on green candles and rising perp OI that doesn’t skew funding too positive.
  • Structure: Hold above $44 on dips; defend $42 on daily time frame to keep the wedge intact.
  • Market tone: A steady or rising BTC usually helps these breakouts stick; a slide in majors often turns them into wicks. ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-price-ethereum-xrp-crypto-today-37e70acb?utm_source=openai))

Bottom line

HYPE has earned the benefit of the doubt at $44. The market keeps meeting sellers there, and the venue behind the token continues to print meaningful derivatives activity. The roadmap back to $60 is clear enough: reclaim $50, chew through $53–$56, then retest the prior high. If bulls fumble $42 on a daily close, the idea is wrong for now and $35 becomes a live risk. For most readers, this is a textbook “levels and patience” trade — let price confirm with a break and hold above $50, or keep powder dry for another clean tag of support. ([defillama.com](https://defillama.com/protocol/hyperliquid/perps?utm_source=openai))

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Binance Coin Near $1250: Key Levels and Resistance Targets for Upcoming Sessions

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Binance Coin Near $1,250

Binance Coin is back in the spotlight. After a fast climb, BNB is catching its breath around the mid‑$1,200s, with bulls eyeing the $1,400–$1,500 area and skeptics calling for a cool‑off. The next few sessions could set the tone for the rest of October.

Why BNB matters right now

BNB sits at the center of the Binance ecosystem and powers transactions on BNB Smart Chain. It also benefits from an ongoing token burn program that gradually trims supply, a theme many long‑term holders track closely. That mix of exchange utility, on‑chain usage, and a supply sink often makes BNB one of the higher‑beta names when liquidity returns to crypto. With price hovering near $1,250–$1,270 on October 11, 2025, traders are weighing two paths: a clean push to fresh highs or a shakeout that resets overheated indicators.

What just happened: momentum meets resistance

BNB rallied hard into early October, then paused below a band of resistance stretching from roughly $1,280 to $1,350. Buying interest has been obvious on intraday dips, especially around $1,230–$1,250, where bids keep stepping in. According to a widely followed trader known as Crypto King on X, the pullback from a recent spike near $1,350 toward the low‑$1,200s looks like standard digestion after a strong leg higher. Rising participation and a pattern of higher highs support that view.

Others see a different story. Analyst Gordon flagged the steep, near‑vertical candles on BNB’s daily chart and warned that the move looks stretched. He even floated the idea of high‑leverage shorts, reflecting a belief that volatility could swing the other way before the next advance. Whether one agrees with his strategy or not, the message is clear: conditions are fast, and risk can escalate quickly when price is this extended.

The chart: levels that matter into mid‑October

Nearest support

  • $1,250–$1,270: Where buyers have been most active. Holding above this area keeps the near‑term uptrend intact and limits the risk of forced selling.
  • $1,220: A break here invites a sharper flush as late longs get squeezed. If momentum fades, this is the first level to watch for reaction.
  • $1,080–$960: Deeper support if the market enters a broader reset. This zone lines up with prior basing and could attract spot buyers if reached.

Overhead resistance

  • $1,280: First gate. Reclaiming and holding above it would tell us dip buyers remain in control.
  • $1,350: Breakout trigger. Acceptance above this shelf often brings momentum traders back into the fray.
  • $1,400–$1,500: The big magnet. Many participants have this zone marked for partial profit‑taking and potential whipsaws. Brave New Coin has highlighted this area as a major test for the current cycle’s advance. Read their context here.

How we got here: structure and sentiment

From a technician’s lens, BNB spent weeks building a base earlier this year around the high‑$600s, then broke out with expanding volume. Since then, pullbacks have been shallow and short, with limited downside wicks and buyers reasserting control on every dip. That behavior often signals accumulation and leaves sellers on the back foot. The current consolidation near $1,250 looks like an attempt to reset intraday momentum without losing trend structure.

At the same time, sentiment has swung optimistic. Social feeds are filled with calls for a run to $1,500 and beyond. That kind of excitement can add fuel to the upside, but it can also set up shakeouts as leveraged longs crowd into the same trade. Funding, open interest, and liquidation heatmaps (on exchanges that publish them) will be useful tells over the next few days.

Bull case vs. bear case

If bulls are right

  • Hold above $1,250: Keeps buyers in control and sets up a retest of $1,280 and $1,350.
  • Break and base over $1,350: Trend followers likely add exposure, pulling price into the $1,400–$1,500 pocket where old offers and take‑profit orders may sit.
  • All‑time‑high watch: A decisive move through $1,500 could print new highs before a larger consolidation phase. Momentum traders love clean discoveries; volatility usually spikes there.

If bears are right

  • Slip below $1,220: Triggers a fast sweep toward $1,200 and potentially $1,080 as late longs unwind. That’s where cascading liquidations become a risk.
  • Failure at $1,280/$1,350: Multiple rejections cause frustration, sap momentum, and increase the odds of a larger range forming under $1,350 for several sessions.
  • Leverage risk: Talk of 50x–100x positioning around $1,300 is a reminder that swings can be violent both ways.

On‑chain and fundamentals: what can help or hurt

Beyond the chart, two longer‑running threads matter for BNB holders:

  • Supply: Binance’s quarterly auto‑burn continues to reduce BNB’s circulating supply over time. That creates a structural tailwind when demand is healthy. You can find the program’s mechanics on Binance’s official resources if you want to dig into the math.
  • Utility and headlines: BNB remains the gas token for BNB Smart Chain, which supports a wide range of apps, tokens, and NFTs. Upticks in active addresses, transactions, and developer releases often map to stronger spot demand over multi‑week windows. On the flip side, exchange‑related headlines have historically moved BNB, so traders keep one eye on news flow.

For live market stats, many investors track a blend of spot volume, futures funding, and order book depth across large venues and data sites like CoinMarketCap. BNB overview on CoinMarketCap.

Trading playbook: practical ways to think about it

Short‑term traders

  • Use levels, not feelings: $1,250–$1,270 as line in the sand for momentum longs; $1,280 and $1,350 as add/flip levels; $1,220 as a stop for many intraday plans.
  • Watch the first break after compression: If BNB coils between $1,240–$1,280 and then breaks, follow‑through during the first hour often sets the day’s tone.
  • Respect leverage: Great when it works, unforgiving when it snaps. Size positions so a routine 3% wick doesn’t force an exit at the worst moment.

Swing traders

  • Acceptance over $1,350: Look for strong closes above that level on the 4‑hour/daily timeframes and rising spot volume to confirm.
  • Fade euphoria near $1,500: If price reaches the target zone quickly with funding spiking, scale out or tighten risk. Sharp pullbacks from round numbers are common.
  • Patience at support: If the market tests $1,080–$960, watch for multi‑day basing rather than trying to nail a falling knife.

Long‑term holders

  • Dollar‑cost discipline: If you invest over months, pre‑set buys and avoids chasing breakouts you don’t plan to sell quickly.
  • Track the burn and chain usage: Shrinking supply helps only if on‑chain demand is resilient. Monitor developer updates and activity on BNB Chain.
  • Diversification: No single token should dominate a portfolio. Spreading exposure reduces the chance that one headline derails your plan.

Volatility checklist for the week ahead

  • Spot vs. perp flow: A rally led by spot buyers tends to be sturdier than one powered only by futures.
  • Funding and OI: If funding flips extreme and open interest balloons into resistance, the squeeze risk rises.
  • Liquidity pockets: Be aware of stop clusters above $1,350 and below $1,220; these areas often trigger quick spikes or flushes.
  • Macro and BTC: BNB rarely trades in a vacuum. If Bitcoin breaks out or rolls over, correlations can amplify moves in majors like BNB.

Bottom line

BNB’s trend is still up, and buyers have defended the $1,250 area on every test. A clean reclaim of $1,280 and a daily close above $1,350 would set the stage for a run at $1,400–$1,500, where profit‑taking and headline‑driven swings often show up. Lose $1,220 with momentum, and the market could slide toward $1,200, then $1,080, before bargain hunters try again.

Set alerts, pick your levels, and let the chart come to you. In fast markets, patience and position sizing matter more than predictions.

also read:Global Crackdown on $75 Billion Crypto Crime Sparks International Law Enforcement Collaboration

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Global Crackdown on $75 Billion Crypto Crime Sparks International Law Enforcement Collaboration

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Global Crackdown on $75 Billion Crypto Crime Sparks International Law Enforcement Collaboration

$75 Billion in Crypto Crime Spurs Global Law Enforcement Collaboration

The digital currency landscape has witnessed a surge in illicit activities, with approximately $75 billion linked to crypto-related crimes. This staggering figure comprises $15 billion held in illicit entity balances and an additional $60 billion in downstream wallets. Such vast sums have prompted a concerted global effort to trace, freeze, and recover these assets, leading to unprecedented collaboration between blockchain investigators and law enforcement agencies worldwide.

Unprecedented Global Crackdowns

Europol’s Project A.S.S.E.T.

In March 2025, Europol spearheaded Project A.S.S.E.T., assembling over 80 financial experts from 28 countries to target criminal assets. This operation led to the identification of 53 properties, over 220 bank accounts, 15 shell companies, and more than 80 cryptocurrency wallets linked to organized crime. Notably, €200,000 in crypto assets were frozen during this initiative. (hstoday.us)

Interpol’s ‘Operation HAECHI VI’

Similarly, Interpol’s ‘Operation HAECHI VI’ in September 2025 showcased the power of international cooperation. Law enforcement agencies from over 40 countries collaborated to block more than 68,000 bank accounts and freeze nearly 400 cryptocurrency wallets implicated in illicit activities. The operation successfully recovered $97 million in crypto assets, underscoring the effectiveness of coordinated global efforts. (markets.chroniclejournal.com)

Specialized Training and Capacity Building

Recognizing the complexities of crypto-related crimes, various jurisdictions have prioritized specialized training for their law enforcement personnel. In May 2025, Gibraltar’s Ministry of Justice organized a session titled “Crypto Asset Disputes – Recoveries and Legal Principles”. This training equipped officers with insights into the evolving legal frameworks and recovery strategies pertinent to digital assets. (gibraltar.gov.gi)

Furthermore, in October 2025, the 9th Global Conference on Criminal Finances and Cryptoassets convened in Vienna, Austria. Jointly organized by Europol, UNODC, and the Basel Institute on Governance, the conference aimed to advance global efforts in countering the criminal use of cryptocurrencies. The agenda included discussions on emerging criminal typologies and the latest trends in crypto-related crimes. (baselgovernance.org)

Public-Private Partnerships: A Unified Front

The fight against crypto crime has also seen the emergence of robust public-private partnerships. In February 2025, Binance co-hosted the APAC Regional Law Enforcement Day in Bangkok, Thailand. This event brought together law enforcement officials and blockchain experts to share knowledge and enhance skills necessary to combat illicit activities in the crypto space. (prnewswire.com)

Binance’s commitment to security is further exemplified by its collaboration with global law enforcement agencies. In 2023, the company’s specialized teams processed over 58,000 law enforcement requests, boasting an average response time of three days—outpacing many traditional financial institutions. Additionally, Binance launched the Global Law Enforcement Training Program to aid in detecting financial and cybercrimes. (axios.com)

Challenges and the Road Ahead

Despite these concerted efforts, challenges persist. The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) highlighted in June 2025 that only 40 out of 138 jurisdictions were “largely compliant” with its crypto standards. The FATF emphasized that regulatory shortcomings in one region could have global repercussions, given the borderless nature of virtual assets. (reuters.com)

Moreover, the disbanding of the U.S. Department of Justice’s National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team (NCET) in 2023 raised concerns about the continuity of dedicated efforts against crypto crimes. The NCET’s responsibilities were merged into the Computer Crime and Intellectual Property Section (CCIPS), aiming to consolidate expertise in combating cybercrime. (globalgovernmentfintech.com)

Conclusion

The staggering $75 billion linked to crypto crimes has galvanized a global response, fostering unprecedented collaboration between blockchain experts and law enforcement agencies. Through international operations, specialized training, and public-private partnerships, significant strides have been made in tracing and recovering illicit digital assets. However, as the crypto landscape continues to evolve, sustained vigilance, adaptive strategies, and cohesive global cooperation remain imperative to effectively combat the ever-changing tactics of cybercriminals.

also read:BullZilla Presale Launches on August 29 2025 Introducing Deflationary Burn and High-Yield Staking Opportunities

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